In 1964, science fiction writer Isaac Asimov imagined the life of mankind in 2014, guessing the emergence of wireless equipment, smartphones, slow cookers and other novelties. And now the Spanish experts have decided to celebrate the 50th anniversary of that forecast and look half a century ahead themselves. What do they "see" in 2064?
Of course, first of all, robots with highly developed intelligence. They will help people with housework, drive cars without accidents, explore other planets, and so on.
In a word, these station wagons will become as familiar to us as a car or a computer today. In addition, it will be possible to grow new organs for living beings to replace sick or damaged ones. We can say that the realization of these forecasts is already on the threshold. Most likely, humanity will not have to wait 50 years to witness these scientific achievements. They are already on the doorstep.
But there are forecasts with a longer perspective. So, Maria Chamiso, an experimental physicist at CERN, believes that in the future, to cure cancer, it will be enough to take proton pills that will destroy cancer cells without damaging healthy tissue. Methods for the complete processing of nuclear waste will also be developed, and humanity will again think about returning to nuclear energy.
Director of the European space agency for Science and Robotic Research, Alvaro Jiménez predicts that by 2064, humanity will finally sort out the nearest exoplanets and possibly find several planets with favorable conditions for the origin and existence of life.
Much bolder in his predictions is an employee of the Singularity University, located in Silicon Valley, Jose Cordeiro. He believes that after 2045 we will have artificial intelligence that will surpass human mind, and we will move on to the next stage of development - we will become "post-humans". human civilization will unite into a single planetary organism, the power of the intellect of which will exceed the current one by a million times.
This brain will process information millions of times faster. By 2064 on the planets solar system colonies of such "posthumans" will appear. Civilization will be transplanetary and almost immortal.
It is interesting to compare these forecasts with those made at the turn of the 20th and 21st centuries by famous writer Arthur Clark. As they say, everything is possible for a science fiction writer, and he did not restrain himself. Here are just a few of his predictions. Already in 2010 should be created quantum generators, which will draw energy directly from space. As long as it remains a dream. But the assumption that in 2014 tourists will fill space hotels may soon become a reality.
Already in next year scientists should start extracting gold from common metals. We have very little time left to evaluate this prediction of Clarke. For 2020, he planned the creation artificial intelligence, for 2021 - a flight to Mars, for 2023 - the cloning of dinosaurs, for 2040 the design of food molecules, clothing, in general, any materials, which will make the industry unnecessary. In 2050, people will learn to control the climate, and they will also be able to freeze themselves in order to rush into the future in a dream. Why, if life will please you anyway?
Noted futurist, member World Fund Ian Pearson, who predicted SMS messages, virtual reality and drones back in 1991, conducted a study based on a deep analysis of the social and scientific information, and told in what kind of world people will live in 30-40 years. It is reported by the Daily Mail.
The expert predicted by 2050 the appearance of unusual technical inventions, which previously seemed science fiction, among them invisibility cloaks, unmanned capsules instead of cars, supersonic trains moving under water, etc.
1. Implants
The futurist believes that by 2050, special implants will be implanted under the skin of a person, tiny IT devices that will allow you to monitor your health 24 hours a day. These devices, according to the specialist, will analyze blood counts and help detect and diagnose the disease even before its symptoms appear.
The Daily Mail rates this prediction at 40% accurate.
2. Flying capsules
According to the expert, unmanned capsules will completely replace cars in 40-50 years. Road network, intended for the use of such "machines", will be connected through linear electric motors, generating a magnetic field that will set the capsules in motion.
“Remember toy cars that drive around the track, clinging to metal contact lines with their “tails”? Capsules will use the same principle,” says Ian Pearson.
The Daily Mail estimates the accuracy of this prediction at 28%.
3. Space tourism
Ian Pearson believes that by 2050, private companies like SpaceX and Blue Origin will space launches business as usual. Anyone at any time will be able to go into space on a reusable rocket, however, by paying a certain amount of money for this. The futurist believes that initially space tourism will be a toy of rich people, and then it will develop so that anyone can fly into space for a relatively small fee.
Daily Mail Probability Estimate - 28%
4. Virtual reality(VR) and augmented reality (AR)
The futurist says that by 2050 these two types of reality will become commonplace.
Together with artificial intelligence, both VR and AR will simulate a world in which anyone can feel rich, famous, and even try to “live” in another body (sex change), and the elderly will be able to “become young” for a while.
The Daily Mail rates this prediction at 25% accurate.
5. Robots and freedom
By 2050, according to the expert, robots will be assigned to most jobs, and will also do all the work around the house. People will have a lot of time for themselves, for their loved ones, that is, they will become more free and at the same time be able to realize all their dreams.
The Daily Mail estimates the accuracy of this prediction at 24%.
6 Thought Police
In 40-50 years, thought recognition technology will be created. It will be used by the police to prevent planned crimes. It’s just not clear how society will perceive it, because with the help of such a device it will be possible to “get into the head” of any person.
7. Meetings through a hologram
The personal presence of a person at any business meeting and even at romantic date by 2050 will not be necessary. By this time, technology will appear that will allow a person to “be present” in a specified place in the form of a hologram.
The Daily Mail estimates the accuracy of this prediction at 23%.
8 Superhuman Powers
The usual clothes will be replaced by exoskeletons “stuffed” with artificial muscles made of electroactive polymers that can give a person the strength of a superhero.
The Daily Mail estimates the accuracy of this prediction at 18%.
9 Supersonic Submarine Trains
According to the futurologist, by 2050 there will be supersonic underwater trains that will connect entire continents and will travel at a speed of more than 1200 km/h with the help of supercavitation(movement of the body in water, in which a cavity filled with water vapor is formed around the body with the help of a special head cavitator. Steam reduces the drag coefficient, which allows you to gradually increase the speed and range of the route).
The Daily Mail rates this prediction at 16% accurate.
10 Invisibility Cloak
Ian Pearson believes that one of the attributes of fairy tales - the invisibility cloak will become a reality in 40 years. The futurist says that by that time a special metamaterial will have been created that will refract the rays of light so that the object under it will not be visible.
Initially, the invisibility cloak will be used in the army, and then this technology will migrate to the world of ordinary people.
“Shop and club owners will use augmented reality with the invisibility cloak, which will allow their shops and clubs to become invisible to the “wrong” clientele,” says Ian Pearson.
These are not all predictions. famous futurist, he will share the rest of his findings in the science series Electric Dreams, which will be shown to UK residents on Channel 4's on September 24.
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People have always wondered what the future will be like. The answers are quite simple, and below we will look at the next 50 years.
How can we know what the future will be like?
To understand the future, you need to know the past. What brought us to the present and what has changed over time. Over the past 150 years, the world has changed a lot, but the basic needs of people have remained the same as they were 150 years ago. This is food, sleep, procreation, the desire to be respected and loved. Will this change in the next 150 years? No.
What discoveries have changed the world in the last 150 years?
Let's forget for a moment about the gadgets that people use for entertainment and list the ones that really affect our everyday life: telephone, electricity, radio, television, computer, cars and the ability to communicate via the Internet. Of course people did great amount discoveries that have made our lives easier, such as in the field of medicine, the production of faster transport, etc.
In general, the discoveries of the last 150 years have encouraged people to strive for freedom, communication, control over time and the world. Since there is still much to be done in this area, it will be the focus of at least, another 150 years.
But why do we need to predict the future?
Predicting the future is important for two reasons; firstly, we need to start thinking about what kind of future we want for ourselves and our descendants, and secondly, we need to know what decisions to make today so that they give best result in future.
Will there be flying cars in the future that we've all seen in pictures and movies?
Flying cars are an example of a future scenario that writers and screenwriters have been describing for a long time. This is a great and exciting idea, but is it real? To begin with, we must understand whether it is necessary for us? Weigh the pros and cons". Then we need to think about the transport system that is on this moment, vehicles moving on the ground and the transition to a new type of system. To make this a reality, we need two parallel systems: a transport system for flying cars, operating simultaneously with a conventional transport system. Even if flying cars are suitable for urban traffic, cities would need to invest heavily to implement this idea, and for city dwellers, buying a flying vehicle would be costly. And even if there are more pluses, in practice it will be very difficult to cope with all the problems that have arisen. So in the next 50 years road system for flying cars may not appear.
And now let's talk about virtual worlds. Will we need to travel somewhere for weekends or vacations in the future, or will we be able to enjoy virtual travel?
Perhaps in the future we will be able to feel the sand between our fingers, feel the ocean salt on our lips, hear the sound of the surf and smell the seaweed while lying in our bed at home. However, we cannot fool the mind. No matter how real the sensations are, you will still be aware that this is not real. That's the whole difference. You can tell now to someone what you saw Pyramids of Egypt because you've seen them in pictures, but you'll never get the feeling that you've actually seen them in person. So even if such an invention is possible and affordable price, it will never replace the real feeling of travel.
So what will the future be like?
In the next 50 years, we will see a transition from a society dependent on oil; a more developed field of medicine; the first steps towards the creation of artificial intelligence; continuation of space exploration; perhaps improving the living conditions of low-income people; problems with climate change and new discoveries that will make life a little easier and more interesting.
So what can we do to make our future great?
So, as you know, the winner in life is not the person who has the most money at the time of death, but the one who sleeps well at night. One who treats himself well and those around him, knows how to listen, loves, respects, and helps others when they need it. Here's what will matter when you go to bed 50 years from now, and hopefully you sleep well.
Elena Longa, AiF.ru: Anatoly Alexandrovich, is it possible to predict something for half a century ahead?
Anatoly Wasserman: I named my forecast in accordance with the well-known joke of Khoja Nasreddin. When he contracted for 20 years to teach the Emir donkey to read, he was asked: “What are you doing? After all, you will not be able to fulfill the promise, and the emir will execute you. Nasreddin replied: "In 20 years, one of the three of us will die - either I, or the emir, or the donkey." Accordingly, I can talk freely about the world in 50 years, because by that time I will no longer be in the world.
New socialism
But seriously, I'm talking about processes that, in my opinion, are inevitable: they are based on pre-existing prerequisites. For example, the rate of development information technologies, which we are now observing, according to my calculations, by the mid-2020s will allow managing all world production as a whole, coordinating all production with each other and with consumption. Thus, the whole economy will work in the most profitable mode.
The transition to such a unified management will ensure an increase in global production by several times. A decentralized - market - economy will lose to central planning in efficiency. It, thanks to new technologies, will become accurate - and we will come to a new socialism.
A radical reorganization of the whole society awaits us. Need to spend large-scale research to understand what it will be like. But it is already clear that one of the main goals of the entire world production will be the creation of opportunities for the self-development of each individual. The new socialism will not be like the old one, this society will develop according to completely different laws than those that we know from experience.
- Which countries will play key roles in economics?
The key role in the economy will be given to the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa - ed.) - this will happen in the near future, in 2-3 years. And the BRICS policy will be determined primarily by Russia. After all, the political contradictions between the key economic sense, the BRICS members - India and China - are so large that until recently they were considered guaranteed incapable of entering any single organization. Only the Russian Federation can remove these differences.
Forecast is positive
- Will the life of the majority of Russians get better?
The position of Russia will undoubtedly be better than the present. Because the reasons for the deterioration of the situation in the country have been studied, and it is clear how to deal with them. The main reason is that the possibilities have long been exhausted. global economy. The market covers almost the entire world, and its further expansion will not occur. Consumers are oversaturated: they do not want to take a new one. It is no coincidence that the idea of making things so that they fail soon after the warranty period is in demand.
Our country is experiencing additional shocks, because it was accepted into the global division of labor on the condition that most of the high-tech industries be abandoned. And they, despite many years of slander, in many areas have never been inferior to foreign ones, and in some areas we are still superior best achievements the rest of the world.
The creation of a single economic structure, including Russia, India and China, will make it possible to change the situation. It is guaranteed to be self-sufficient in all respects, including high-tech production and Scientific research, and cannot be created without the participation of the Russian Federation.
In addition, we need to harmonize our internal economic policy with the external, purposeful management of the economy as a whole. The only thing hindering this is that economic bloc the government of the Russian Federation has long been cleaned out of all people who can even think about public administration economy. People will have to be replaced. The only thing needed for the transition to such a regime is political will.
- And what awaits Ukraine, whose citizen you were until recently?
I believe that as soon as the Americans stop supporting the terrorists who seized power in Ukraine two years ago, all of Ukraine will become part of Russia. After all, Ukrainian politicians have experimentally proved that their independence is dangerous for Ukrainian citizens.
What will the world be like in 50 years? Surely, this issue worries most of the inhabitants of the earth, which is not surprising. After all, even a child sooner or later thinks about his future. But, as practice shows, the sooner the better.
The world will change...
The world will change... And it will happen very soon, according to scientific guesses. In 2006, more than 70 scientists from all over the world in the anniversary issue of the well-known New Scientist magazine published their arguments about the not-so-distant future of mankind. By 2056, people suffering from paralysis of limbs after treatment (oh miracle!!!) will be able to participate in running competitions. The deaf can hear, and the blind can see. But that's not all ... Also, people will find justification dark energy. Although even this discovery is nothing compared to another find. Forms alien life generally will be found among our loved ones. And although it is hard to believe today, perhaps it will be so.
A bit of history...
Recall that 50 years ago, in the distant 60s, scientists predicted that little-known genetic research will be able to develop the most productive area scientific discoveries. However, then the people of science doubted that mankind would be able to land on the moon, in which they deeply and regrettably miscalculated.
In 1957, immediately after the launch artificial satellite earth, the respected Sir Harold Spencer Jones of the Royal Astronomical Society proudly declared: "I am of the opinion that whole generations will pass before a man can land on the moon, and that even if he does land, there is little hope that he will be able to return."
Alas, Sir Harold Spencer Jones was wrong on this point. Already in 1969, a man not only landed on the moon, but was able to return without hindrance.
Day to come...
Today, scientists again predict very strange things, but, as history shows, they still need to be believed. And maybe then, in 50 years, you won't have to look for your Sir Harold Spencer Jones to write off the blunders of all mankind on him.
Few predictions
Here are some predictions. Professor Daniel Pauley from the University British Columbia states: “The most important breakthrough for the oceans will be a device for recognizing, deciphering and transmitting emotions, as well as unformed “thoughts” of animals in such a form that these signals can be transformed into similar emotions and thoughts in the human brain.”
Professor Freeman Dyson of the Institute for Development Research in Princeton, New Jersey, has little interest in animal thought. Much more important, in his opinion, are traces of alien organisms that are about to be discovered among humanity. This discovery may become the most important in 50 years.
There are also more adequate forecasts. It is expected that in half a century new methods will be created in medicine, including in such a field as the regeneration of body organs. This is the opinion of Professor Bruce Lan of the University of Chicago.
P. S. Like it or not... Time will tell. It remains only to wait and live these 50 years with dignity.
Konstantin Lyusev
